#FACT ..... Does state jonathan will loose

The big day is now just three weeks from now
and things are shaping up already. The people
rooting for President Jonathan are keenly looking
forward to March 28 and anticipating a victory for
him.
However, there are some states where the
president might lose this election based on recent
history and the sociopolitical circumstances in
those states. Here are 18 states where this might
happen.
1, Niger
Niger is the only state in the north central that
Jonathan lost in 2011. He won the other states in
the zone. Niger’s mainly Muslim population might
be a difficulty for Jonathan again this time.
2. Yobe
Buhari has the upper hand in Yobe and the rest of
the north east. Last time Jonathan lost heavily to
Buhari in this state. Buhari will likely sweep the
votes here this month. It’s a core Muslim state.
3. Gombe
Jonathan lost Gombe to Buhari too in 2011. He
probably doesn’t have much chance here this
year either. The Muslim majority in the state isn’t
leaning in his direction.
4. Borno
Borno has largely been a war zone for some time
now. Boko Haram seized parts of the state and
imposed a great deal of terror here. The people
will probably not be voting for the president
because of the way he’s handled the fight against
insurgency in their area. Buhari will probably win
it here.
5. Bauchi
It was an easy win for Buhari in Bauchi last time
where he pocketed 82% of the votes. Jonathan
almost certainly has no chance of winning in
Bauchi this year or in any state in the north east
for that matter.
6. Zamfara
Zamfara is a core Muslim state in the north west.
Buhari is king here as he is in the rest of the
north west. Last time he cleanly swept this zone
and Jonathan lost in all the states including
Zamfara. This zone is Jonathan’s worst
nightmare.
7. Sokoto
Here’s another mainly Muslim state that will be
hard for Jonathan to win. He lost here last time
even though the PDP runs things in the state. It’s
not likely he can turn around the situation this
year.
8. Kebbi
Buhari defeated Jonathan in Kebbi state in 2011.
He’s apparently going to win it here again this
time. Jonathan’s popularity in the area hasn’t
improved pretty much in the last four years.
9, Katsina
This is where Buhari comes from. His victory in
this state is indisputable.
10. Kano
Kano is another stronghold of Buhari. It was a
walkover for him here in the last election. Now
the APC is also in charge in Kano. Jonathan
barely has a chance in this state.
11. Kaduna
Jonathan narrowly lost to Buhari here in 2011
even though the state has a Muslim majority. It’s
another state where he might lose this month.
However, the state is PDP.
12. Jigawa
Buhari beat Jonathan in Jigawa last year and is a
lot more popular than the president in this state.
But Jonathan might still draw the votes given his
party is in charge in the state.
13. Rivers
The governor Rotimi Amaechi is one of
Jonathan’s principal enemy and he’s Buhari’s
campaign chief. Jonathan knocked out Buhari
completely the last time, but this time the APC
have the momentum and the equation has
changed.
14. Imo
Buhari’s party runs the government in this Igbo
state and the governor Rochas Okorocha is highly
popular among the masses. He can and will
probably influence the voters here in favour of his
party’s candidate. A Jonathan victory here is
uncertain.

15. Oyo
Jonathan packed the most votes in the west last
time, but things have since changed with the APC
merger. Now the west is rooting for Buhari, and
Oyo is no exception. Jonathan’s popularity has
greatly dipped among the Yorubas.
16. Osun
Even last time when Jonathan won in other
Yoruba states, he lost in this one. The governor
Rauf Aregbesola is so popular in the state and
he’s definitely campaigning for his party, the APC.
Jonathan virtually has no chance of winning here.
17. Ogun
Ogun is obviously leaning towards Buhari and the
APC like the other Yoruba states. Jonathan
hasn’t got a strong enough following here to
challenge the APC.
18. Lagos
Protesters will predictably pour out on the streets
of Lagos if Jonathan happens to win there. He’s
the least popular candidate on the ballot among
the Lagos people. He beat Buhari in this city the
last time, but now it’s a lot harder for him to
repeat that feat in this election. From reliable source